Which way is up? Saints season and franchise seem lost.

Posted: November 20, 2015 in Uncategorized
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Wherever Brandon Browner is on the football field, a yellow flag seems to be nearby. (Photo courtesy NOLA.com)

It isn’t even Thanksgiving, but for all intents and purposes the New Orleans Saints’ season is over.

Yes, the Saints still have six more games, but the hope and optimism that existed for the franchise before the season began is long gone.

The boys in black and gold have been one of the NFL’s greatest disappointments.  The Saints are 4-6 and staring at missing the playoffs for the third time in four seasons.  Defensive coordinator Rob Ryan was fired this week; all he did was preside over a unit that currently ranks last in the league in points allowed, yards allowed, passing touchdowns allowed, and passing yards per attempt.

It was easy to point a finger at the defense.  Just by looking at the passing numbers posted against the Saints defense you’d think the team had faced a Hall of Fame signal caller each week, but the Saints have been torched by rookies Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota (578 yards, 5 touchdown passes, 1 touchdown rushing), and journeymen Sam Bradford and Kirk Cousins (657 yards, 6 touchdown passes).

The pass rush has underachieved, producing only 22 sacks.

Against the run, the defense is only slightly better and that’s probably due to how little resistance New Orleans offers to the pass. Opposing rushers have averaged nearly five yards per carry and teams are putting up more than 130 yards per game.

And then there are the penalties…

The Saints have been penalized 82 times for 718 yards, fourth most in the league.  No player has gotten flagged more often than defensive back Brandon Browner with his 19.  Teammate Delvin Breaux is tied for fourth in the NFL with seven.

New Orleans’ defense is both bad and undisciplined.  Maybe the change to Dennis Allen at defensive coordinator can fix one of those issues, but there’s not enough talent in that looker room to make a real difference this season.

 

The disaster on defense and the occasional brilliance of Drew Brees have masked what has also been a disappointing year for the Saints offense.

It’s easy to be fooled by the lofty rankings, but the offense has been unbalanced and inconsistent.

There’s been no commitment to the run as was promised in the offseason.  Mark Ingram continues to display the ability to be one of the league’s better backs but he’s gotten at least 20 carries in a game only two times this year.  Khiry Robinson has already been lost for the year with injury and free agent signee C.J. Spiller has contributed little outside of his game winning touchdown against the Cowboys.

It seems strange that a team with a defense as bad as the Saints would rely so heavily on the pass, even with Brees being the guy doing the passing.  However, New Orleans chucks it more than 62 percent of the time.  Only 11 teams in the league have a higher percentage of pass plays called.  Of those 11, just New England and Denver have winning records.  In fact, only five of the top 20 teams in passing attempts have winning records.

But the Saints keep throwing.

The Saints are a volume offense now, not an explosive one.  They amass huge numbers because they are on the field so often, because the defense gives up so many points.

The big play is a bigger part of the offense than it was last season, but the Saints are not explosive.  The Saints have 51 plays of 20 yards or more this season, but they rank 18th in the league in big play percentage.  New Orleans hasn’t ranked in the top ten since 2011.

In the Saints’ six losses they’ve scored fewer than 20 points per game and only two of those were against winning teams.  That’s not a juggernaut.

As I said to SportsNOLA’s Ken Trahan during the Washington game via Twitter, the Saints are a really bad team that occasionally masquerades as an entertaining one.

This is a team that could easily be 1-9.  Take away the miracle finish against Dallas, the one good half against Indy, and the special teams blunder by the Giants that put the Saints in field goal range, and that’s what they probably would be.

As we look ahead to the final six games, there are no “gimmes”.  The Texans just knocked the Bengals from the ranks of the unbeaten. Carolina hasn’t been slowed yet this season.  Tampa Bay is always a tough place for the Saints to win, and who knows which Detroit team will show up to the Superdome.  New Orleans should be favored against Jacksonville, but what does that mean at this point?  The Falcons could be playing for the postseason in Week 17, what will the Saints be playing for?

It looks like another lost season Saints fans, and the path that the franchise is on seems to be taking it further and further away from contention and relevancy.

Anybody out there know the way back?

 

 

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